Sean t rcp twitter
In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersRT @davidshor: To be more pointed - Catalist data shows that non-college voters of color have trended *enormously* toward the GOP since 2012, by similar magnitudes as non-college whites (particularly on a logit scale!). Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende Of the congressional districts used in 2020, name the top 3 that swung the most toward Republicans (at the presidential level) from 2008, and the three that swung the most toward Democrats.
Did you know?
On the fringes, Johnson seems to have weathered the storm in WI, and is probably headed for a third term, although a systemic poll error against Rs could create a ... “Especially if you wind up with Bernie taking his (hypothetical) 15% everywhere. Personally I think three is the real danger number, but four with Bernie, Warren, Biden, and Harris doing a demographic division of …“Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/”Sep 12, 2021 · “Anyway, this might be a one-off thing. I hope it's a one off thing, and not another example of liberalism, having become ascendant in American politics, abandoning some of the principles that enabled it to begin its ascent out of fear that something else might replace it. 6/” “@AdamAwalsh @JayCostTWS That and the collective action problem of ppl staying in to try to get the 1-on-1 with Trump.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersNov 6, 2022 · “This remains the key chart for how big GOP House gains will be: Biden vote share by the number of districts with that vote share. At R+3 or so nationally, the GOP starts to climb the levy that Democrats built with Biden +10 (or so) districts. 1/” “Mason has been singing the same song over and over again for the past 20m in his little 8 y/o boy voice and one nice thing about having three is that I recognize that voice (and maybe the singing) will be gone in the blink of an eye. So when he stops, I ask him to sing it again.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ...Where there isn't a central constitutional argument, it isn't surprising that these justices might look askance at modifying Gingles. 2/ May 16 • 10 tweets • 3 min read“Fox and Friends” airs Monday through Friday from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. EST on the Fox News Channel. Viewers can connect to “Fox and Friends” on Facebook, Twitter, Email and Instagram. “Fox and Friends” provides a link directly on their website ...Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.“@BenjySarlin This is one of the key reasons we have such wide bands on our "tossup" category for now. No one really knows how to model this thing.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested“But Kaine and Warner are pretty young, so his political car “McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.” “@NickRiccardi @billscher $100B (at last estimate) for something that So SC-1 is an interesting case. It's basically divvied up between Beaufort County and then three counties in the Charleston area: Charleston, Dorchester and Berkeley, with bits of other two other counties thrown in. In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @;
. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579 Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Take a random sample of NFL wideouts and NBA guards, train them up from a young age to be soccer players, and we would have a premier team. Our standout athletes have all …Log in. Sign upIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users
Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton talks during a news conference following a win over the Green Bay Packers in an NFL football game Oct. 23, 2023, in Denver.Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende · Nov 3, 2021 Replying to @SeanTrende suggesting that Trump's '20 gains among Hispanic are potentially sticking. Swings from 2020 are in working class townships, suggesting continued movement for voters there. If there's a silver lining for Ds, its that the wealthier townships in the northwest didn't move as much.“Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ...…
Reader Q&A - also see RECOMMENDED ARTICLES & FAQs. Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. I am no. Possible cause: Jul 8, 2022 · “As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by th.
“One problem Biden has is that he doesn't have much "crawl-over-broken-glass-twice-to-vote-for-him" type support. That inoculated Obama and Trump from a total wipeout. He really could completely collapse.”“This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a …
Nov 5, 2018 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. What occurred wasn’t a failure of the polls. As with Brexit, it was a failure of punditry. Pundits saw Clinton with a 1.9 percent lead in Pennsylvania and assumed she would win. The correct ...
“I think these analyses provide useful context on where this elect Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at ...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users Log in. Sign up“Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende The losses this term were really aggressive asks on the VRA and ISL. and even there Kav and Roberts left a trail of crumbs on how to get to the desired outcome next time. “Here in the real world Silver gives Dem “Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.” The silver lining for Ds is this: Ciattarelli came close t“@DamonLinker Except the GOP didn't accommodate Trump. He won the nomJul 5, 2022 · “Here in the real world Silver gives De In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17” “The story that makes the most sense re the “But in a wave year, these will come into varying degrees of play. So if the generic ballot starts to reach R+6 or so (which is probably about right if Biden stays in the low 40s) you're suddenly in a scenario where about 30 seats suddenly come into play. 5/” “Could just be a bump in the road, but f“Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storylin “@geoffreyvs Or at least, either Al Gore lost or Donald Trump lost, depending what the model claims to predict. Can't have picked them both correctly.”